Monday, May 7, 2012

DailyMarkets.com - Demographics Account For 50% Of Decline In LFPR

DailyMarkets.com - Demographics Account For 50% Of Decline In LFPR

Demographics Account For 50% Of Decline In LFPR

Posted: 07 May 2012 07:33 AM PDT

As an update to yesterday’s post about the possible contribution of demographic effects on the recent decline in the U.S. Labor Force Participation Rate (see chart above), here are excerpts from two Federal Reserve research reports on the topic.

1. From the conclusion of “Interpreting the Recent Decline in Labor Force Participation,” by Willem Van Zandweghe at the KC Fed (emphasis mine):

“The sharp decline of the LFPR since the onset of the recent recession is due to long-term shifts related … [visit site to read more] or compare Credit Card Rewards and Best Credit Cards

Bearish Fundamentals Keep Wheat Prices On The Defensive

Posted: 07 May 2012 06:42 AM PDT

Monday, May 7, 2012
Wheat futures may have some difficulty overcoming both bearish seasonal and fundamental factors, with any price rallies offering an opportunity for traders to explore bearish trading strategies in Wheat futures options. One such strategy would be a synthetic short position, buying an out-of-the-money put and selling an equal number of out-of-the-money calls in the same contract month. Ideally, you would want to do this trade for a net credit to increase the potential price … [visit site to read more] or compare Credit Card Rewards and Best Credit Cards

Phoenix-Area Home Prices Rise For Fourth Month

Posted: 07 May 2012 06:42 AM PDT

DQ News — “Phoenix-area home sales dipped in March compared with a year earlier as buyers faced a dwindling supply of foreclosures and other sub-$100,000 properties on the market. With foreclosure resales at a nearly four-year low, the median sale price shot up 13.3% from March last year, marking the fourth consecutive month in which the median has risen year-over-year.

A total of 10,005 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow during March in the combined Maricopa-Pinal counties metro … [visit site to read more] or compare Credit Card Rewards and Best Credit Cards

April Job Gains Could Range From 15k To 215k

Posted: 07 May 2012 06:35 AM PDT

As Dennis Gartman reported in The Gartman Letter last Thursday, here’s how the BLS describes in a Technical Note how sampling error affects the monthly estimates of changes in nonfarm employment levels (emphasis added):

“Statistics based on the household and establishment surveys are subject to both sampling and nonsampling error. When a sample rather than the entire population is surveyed, there is a chance that the sample estimates may differ from the “true” population values they represent. … [visit site to read more] or compare Credit Card Rewards and Best Credit Cards

Euro Claws Back Losses After Stunning Election Results In France, Greece

Posted: 07 May 2012 06:34 AM PDT

Fundamental Headlines
- Oil Falls to Four-Month Low on European Votes, U.S. Jobs – Bloomberg
- U.S. Treasury Sells $5 Billion of AIG Stock – Bloomberg
- U.S. Wants "Urgent" Iranian Steps in Nuclear Talks – Reuters
- Greek Parties to Start Coalition Talks, but Fresh Elections Loom – WSJ
- Voter Anger Sweeps Across Europe – WSJ
European Session Summary
How serious is the situation in Europe? This weekend's elections results should serve as a stark reminder that at the end of the … [visit site to read more] or compare Credit Card Rewards and Best Credit Cards

European Poll Results Push Stocks Lower

Posted: 07 May 2012 06:00 AM PDT

05/07/12 Global stocks were trading lower to start the new week this after poll results in France and Greece has raised concerns over the future of austerity packages and the health of the … [visit site to read more] or compare Credit Card Rewards and Best Credit Cards

A Question Of Timing: What America Can Learn From The Revolt In Europe

Posted: 07 May 2012 05:05 AM PDT

Who's an economy for? Voters in France and Greece have made it clear it's not for the bond … [visit site to read more] or compare Credit Card Rewards and Best Credit Cards

The Markets On Cinco De Mayo

Posted: 05 May 2012 09:15 AM PDT

05/05/12 NYFP’s “This Week in Wall Street History”: Todd Schoenberger of the BlackBay Group discusses market performance and history during the Cinco de Mayo … [visit site to read more] or compare Credit Card Rewards and Best Credit Cards

Earnings Break Down

Posted: 05 May 2012 04:00 AM PDT

05/05/12 NYFP’s “Wall Street Lingo”: Todd Schoenberger of the BlackBay Group discusses earnings and the important role they play in the … [visit site to read more] or compare Credit Card Rewards and Best Credit Cards
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